Spain, Greece, Turkey: Most Brits think holiday hotspots will be ‘too hot’ to visit by 2027
Most Britons think Spain, Greece and Turkey will be ‘too hot’ to visit by 2027 as climate change drives temperatures up.
Every summer, travelers from the drizzly UK flock to Europe for the sun.
But with the mercury steadily rising year over year, that trend could be changing, new research suggests.
According to a UK survey by InsureandGo – a specialist travel insurance provider – climate change changes people’s holiday expectations.
In a poll of over 2,000 respondents, 71% thought parts of Europe would be too hot to visit during the summer by 2027.
The results are “staggering,” says Chris Rolland, CEO of travel insurance InsureandGo.
“British holidaymakers are really paying attention to what is happening around the world in terms of global warming.
“While the picture may look ominous now, there is hope that these predictions will not come to pass if we can collectively bring climate change under control by sticking to net zero goals and reduce our overall consumption.
Will British tourists continue to visit Europe as temperatures rise?
Spanish tourism could be the hardest hit by rising temperatures. Before the pandemic, more than 15 million British residents traveled to the country each year. But nearly two-thirds (65%) fear it will be too hot by 2027.
Greece – another popular travel destination for Britons – could also lose significant tourist traffic, with 59% of people concerned about the heat.
More than half of respondents said they would avoid Turkey (55%) and Cyprus (51%) by 2027. Portugal and Italy could also lose potential visitors, with 49% and 42% of respondents respectively saying the places would be too hot.
But there may be no respite at home either. Almost one in five Britons think the UK will be too hot by 2027.
Overall, concerns about heat increase with age. While 53% of people aged 18-34 said Spain would be too hot to visit by 2027, 83% of those over 65 said the same.
It’s a trend that’s evident from the data – 43% of 18-34 year olds said it would be too hot in Greece in 2027, compared to 77% of over-65s.
Where are temperatures rising in Europe?
Europe has just recorded its hottest summer ever. Across the continent, residents and tourists have been overwhelmed by unprecedented heat waves and drought.
It was the second blistering summer in a row for Europe, with average temperatures 0.4 degrees Celsius higher than the previous record set in 2021.
Summer temperatures above 50°C could become a reality in Europe.
“The chances each summer of seeing really extreme temperatures are quite high now,” said Met Office meteorologist Prof Peter Stott after Sicily recorded a reading of 48.8C in 2021.
“We cannot say exactly when this is likely to happen, but Europe will need to prepare for the possibility of new record breaking with temperatures above 50.0°C being possible in Europe in the future, very probably near the Mediterranean where the influence of warm air from North Africa is strongest.
Of human origin global warming is responsible for these changes.
The Earth’s average surface temperature has increased by about 1.1°C since the pre-industrial period (1850-1900). In Europe, this figure is closer to 1.8°C.
Where will tourists go to escape the heat?
Everywhere will be impacted by rising temperatures. However, survey results indicate that potential travelers may be attracted to colder climates.
Only 4% of people think that Scandinavia and Swiss will be too hot to visit, while 5% say the same about the Netherlands.
“Family summer vacations are definitely not going away,” says Rolland.
“Our research, however, suggests that this may well change in terms of holidaymakers moving to cooler climates – or perhaps Easter and Christmas will become school holidays as more families travel abroad for their holidays. I think that this research is a real eye-opener that things need to change – and quickly.”
Part of the change will make travel more sustainable – swap flights for the trains and avoiding extractive tourism.